BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 100 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength =   55.42

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    48.56  14  44   1A  92 (  6-  6) North Texas            -7.76    -22.24                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    59.99  10  13   1B  86 (  6-  5) Alcorn St               3.67     -6.67                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L    46.63  10  35   1B  32 ( 10-  2) Tennessee-Martin       -9.69    -15.31                      
  4 10/02/2021 Home    L *  66.60  27  38   1B  17 ( 10-  2) Incarnate Word         10.28    -21.28                      
  5 10/09/2021 Away    W *  53.30  21  17   1B 123 (  0- 11) Houston Baptist        -3.03      7.03                      
  6 10/16/2021 Home    L *  51.19  17  35   1B  38 (  4-  7) McNeese St             -5.13    -12.87                      
  7 10/23/2021 Home    L *  42.71  14  51   1B  13 (  9-  3) SE Louisiana          -13.61    -23.39                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    L *  57.05  21  42   1B  26 (  6-  5) Nicholls St             0.72    -21.72                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  47.92  28  24   1B 123 (  0- 11) Houston Baptist        -8.40     12.40                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    L *  57.09  28  56   1B  13 (  9-  3) SE Louisiana            0.77    -28.77                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    W *  78.56  24  20   1B  38 (  4-  7) McNeese St             22.24    -18.24                      
      Averages              55.42  19.5 34.1

Best game:   78.56 = 4 point win over McNeese St
Worst game:  42.71 = 37 point loss to SE Louisiana
Team stdev:  10.25